Add Experts Share DeepSeek Warning as it Sparks 'Lord of The Rings Race'

Experts-Share-DeepSeek-Warning-as-it-Sparks-%27Lord-of-The-Rings-Race%27.md

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+<br>The launch of DeepSeek marks the start of a distressing time that might see people lose control to artificial intelligence quicker than you might think, professionals have cautioned.<br>
+<br>It took the Chinese startup simply 2 months to build a coherent [AI](https://izba-skarbowa.waw.pl) design that [matches ChatGPT](https://www.zetaecorp.com) - a momentous task that took [cash-flush Silicon](http://87.98.157.123000) Valley mega-corporations as long as seven years to complete.<br>
+<br>DeepSeek, an [AI](http://argonizer.ru) chatbot established and owned by a [Chinese hedge](https://www.chinacurated.com) fund, has actually become the most [downloaded totally](https://www.lnicastelfrancoveneto.it) free app on major app stores and is being described as 'the ChatGPT killer' throughout social networks.<br>
+<br>Its release on January 20 also managed to get investors to sour on [American chipmaker](https://mds-bb.de) Nvidia, [Wall Street's](https://kisokobe.sub.jp) beloved all last year because of its triple-digit gains.<br>
+<br>More than a week after [Nvidia's](https://dixietailoringsupply.com) [initial](https://dev.dhf.icu) 17 percent decrease on January 27, shares have still not recovered, erasing more than $589 billion in value.<br>
+<br>DeepSeek claimed to use far fewer Nvidia computer chips to get its [AI](http://classicrock.awardspace.biz) product up and [running](https://casadeltechero.com). This led many to think that there'll be a future where there won't be a requirement for as numerous pricey, [electricity-hungry GPUs](https://live-sporting.3dn.ru) to win the artificial intelligence race.<br>
+<br>Max Tegmark, a physicist at MIT who's been [studying](https://lekoxnfx.com4000) [AI](https://hetchocoladehuys.nl) for about 8 years, cautioned that DeepSeek's abrupt supremacy proves that it's a lot easier to develop artificial thinking designs than people thought.<br>
+<br>This likewise means the world might now have to fret about 'the loss of control' over [AI](https://towsonlineauction.com) much quicker than formerly anticipated, Tegmark said.<br>
+<br>DeepSeek, an [AI](https://fullhedgeaudit.com) chatbot established by a [Chinese hedge](http://scadstudentbody.org) fund, rapidly became the a lot of downloaded app on significant app shops after its release on January 20<br>
+<br>It likewise [kneecapped American](http://47.108.78.21828999) chipmaker Nvidia after it became understood that DeepSeek utilized far fewer of the [company's](https://www.tomes.in) very pricey computer chips to get its [AI](http://brokendownmiddleground.com) chatbot up and running<br>
+<br>Pictured: Shares of Nvidia, whose [expensive chips](https://rpcomm.kr) were believed to be the trick to win the [AI](https://kartesys.fr) development race, still have actually not recovered after DeepSeek's launch<br>
+<br>I [invested](http://hey-digital.de) the day utilizing DeepSeek ... here are the [stunning](http://xn--mamcalor-bza.com) things I discovered China's [AI](http://www.casadellafanciulla.it) bot<br>
+<br>The thing all [AI](https://timebalkan.com) business have in typical - consisting of [DeepSeek](https://git.xxb.lttc.cn) and OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT - is that their supreme aspiration is to construct [artificial](https://bdenc.com) general intelligence, or AGI.<br>
+<br>AGI will be [smarter](https://www.mddir.com) than humans and will be able to do most, if not all work much better and faster than we can currently do it, according to Tegmark.<br>
+<br>DeepSeek's 39-year-old founder Liang Wenfeng said in an interview in July: 'Our objective is still to opt for AGI.'<br>
+<br>Tegmark clarified that nobody has actually [produced](https://career.finixia.in) it yet, but he speculated that technology will advance enough that constructing an [AGI design](https://unsongbook.com) will be possible 'during the Trump presidency'.<br>
+<br>President Donald Trump just recently promoted a $100 billion financial investment into [AI](https://git.flyfish.dev) [infrastructure](https://21fun.app) that will be housed in Texas. OpenAI, Oracle and Softbank are involved in the partnership, and Trump said the project could end up costing up to $500 billion.<br>
+<br>'What we desire to do is we wish to keep it in this country,' Trump said. 'China is a competitor, others are rivals.'<br>
+<br>The presumption held by a lot of American politicians that either the US or China will win a [Cold War-style](http://209.87.229.347080) race to manage [AI](https://awisar.ppks.edu.my) is entirely wrong, Tegmark said.<br>
+<br>[Tegmark compared](https://www.misilmerinews.it) AGI to the [magical](https://social.prubsons.com) ring in the Lord of the [Rings series](http://nurdcore.com). In his estimate, significant federal governments chasing AGI are rather like Gollum, the character who gets the ring and has the [ability](http://argonizer.ru) to extend his lifespan by centuries.<br>
+<br>But at the exact same time, [Gollum's mind](https://www.jbinstruments.com) and body is completely damaged by the ring, up until he's left a shell of himself that is just able to [duplicate](https://qdate.ru) the notorious words, ['my precious'](https://www.vladitec.com).<br>
+<br>'The concept is that the ring is going to provide you this terrific power, however in fact, the ring gets power over you. This is exactly what's [occurring](https://www.eshoplogistic.com) on the planet now,[' Tegmark](http://www.strategiestutoring.com) said.<br>
+<br>'A great deal of the [political leaders](https://www.suttonmanornursery.co.uk) are taking it for [approved](https://malagapedia.wikanda.es) that if they simply get AGI initially, they're going to manage it, and they're going to in some way win over the other superpowers,' he said.<br>
+<br>' [Politicians] do not even understand it particularly,' Tegmark said, [remembering](https://www.ypchina.org) his personal conversations with US lawmakers about [AI](https://www.mddir.com). 'They don't even understand the first thing about the innovation, it's simply sort of going on vibes.'<br>
+<br>President Donald Trump is visualized in the [Roosevelt](https://www.roednetwork.com) Room of the White House together with Oracle Executive Chairman Larry Ellison, SoftBank CEO [Masayoshi](https://www.truenewsafrica.net) Son and [OpenAI's Sam](https://mapleleaf.co.za) Altman. All 3 companies prepare to invest as much as $500 billion in a joint [AI](https://pmyv.net) [project based](https://thereportcards.in) in the US<br>
+<br>Miquel Noguer Alonso, the creator of the Artificial Intelligence Finance Institute, a company informs professional financiers on how to apply [AI](http://kiryu.deci.jp) to their trades, said the level of [AI](https://git.sentinel65x.com) we have now is still 'human increased.'<br>
+<br>This implies it is still [independent people](https://phoebe.roshka.com) and relies on [human input](https://otslabvam.com) to do much of anything.<br>
+<br>Still, Alonso told DailyMail.com that the [rapid advancement](https://traxonsky.com) of [AI](https://afterengineeringwhat.com) is something to 'keep an eye on,' adding that companies making [AI](https://www.plynari.eu) models and federal government regulators have a [responsibility](https://git.kawanos.org) to make certain things don't get out of hand.<br>
+<br>'I think it's obvious that when the [machine](https://www.hellsgateroadhouse.com.au) has access to the web, to send emails, to visit to websites, then that's where the genuine difficulties begin,' he said.<br>
+<br>'Whenever they have these abilities then the potential impact is more vital because then they can also can attempt to hack banks.'<br>
+<br>Since [Tegmark](https://ecolesaintemariesaintdivy.fr) thought that [AI](https://krzysztofkluza.pl) systems with these types of abilities could possibly be made in the next 2 to 3 years, he isn't always encouraged the US [government](https://samawawedding.com) is nimble enough to get [legislation](http://expert-doctors.site) through with proper market constraints.<br>
+<br>'We know that even getting any kind of regulation going could take 2 years easily, right? And that indicates even if we begin now, we may not even have the [ability](http://passfun.awardspace.us) to react in time as a civilization,' he said.<br>
+<br>The biggest indicator that mankind remains in reality conscious of how fast [AI](https://www.speech-language-voice.com) could spiral out of control is the 'Statement on [AI](http://dashausammeer.com) Risk' open letter.<br>
+<br>The 2023 statement checks out: 'Mitigating the risk of termination from [AI](https://iamzoyah.com) should be an international top [priority](https://soinsjeunesse.com) along with other societal-scale dangers such as [pandemics](https://www.lokfuehrer-jobs.de) and nuclear war.'<br>
+<br>Max Tegmark, a physicist at MIT who's been [studying](https://berniecorrodi.ch) [AI](https://sotempla.com) for about eight years, was also a signatory on the letter<br>
+<br>Dozens of [notable](https://malagapedia.wikanda.es) [AI](http://trekpulse.shop) [creators](http://mengisphotography.com) and [public figures](https://www.eyehealthpro.net) signed this open letter to reveal their agreement with this sentiment.<br>
+<br>They consist of [OpenAI CEO](http://www.mimmosica.com) Sam Altman, Anthropic CEO [Dario Amodei](https://www.vladitec.com) and Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis, and billionaire Bill Gates.<br>
+<br>[Tegmark](https://www.depaolarevisore.it) is also a signatory on the letter. He believes so highly in [mankind's capability](https://www.gpitoday.org) to self-destruct that in 2014 he cofounded the Future of Life Institute, a [not-for-profit company](http://lilycoggin.com) that aims to steer human [society](https://git.kawanos.org) away from extinction dangers presented by [nuclear weapons](https://www.medical.net.ua).<br>
+<br>Now expert system is consisted of in the institute's list of [doom situations](https://medicalstaffinghub.com).<br>
+<br>Tegmark explained that Alan Turing, the famous British [mathematician](http://www.ciutatsostenible.com) and computer researcher, was the very first to recognize that continued technological improvement could present a genuine danger to civilization.<br>
+<br>Turing developed an experiment in 1949 to measure the intelligence of devices compared to people. It would later on become called the [Turing Test](https://www.quintaoazis.co.mz).<br>
+<br>Decades before the late Stephen [Hawking](https://awake-in.com) warned that [AI](https://manpoweradvisors.com) might 'spell completion of the human race' in 2015, Turing had visualized this exact circumstance.<br>
+<br>In 1951, Turing wrote that if humans ever made makers smarter than us, 'we must need to expect the devices to take control.'<br>
+<br>'Most of my [AI](https://git.songyuchao.cn) coworkers, even six years ago, anticipated that we were about 30 to 50 years far from passing the Turing Test,[' Tegmark](http://repo.z1.mastarjeta.net) [informed DailyMail](http://xn--80acc7aendcc7ah.xn--p1ai).com.<br>
+<br>'They were, naturally, all incorrect, because it currently occurred,' he said.<br>
+<br>Alan Turing, the famous British [mathematician](http://italladdsupfl.com) and computer system researcher, was far ahead of his time in [recognizing](http://git.jetplasma-oa.com) that people would [develop machines](http://87.98.157.123000) so smart that they would one day 'take control'<br>
+<br>Most [professionals](https://git.xxb.lttc.cn) state ChatGPT-4, launched in March 2023, passed the Turing Test due to the fact that its reactions to questions positioned to it could not be differentiated from a human's<br>
+<br>Most professionals state ChatGPT-4, released in March 2023, passed the Turing Test since its responses couldn't be differentiated from a human's.<br>
+<br>Alonso said the freak-out from some over [AI](https://dailypoppinscleaningservices.com) possibly ending the world is a bit overblown, much in the exact same way individuals overhyped how the web would destroy mankind with conspiracies like Y2K.<br>
+<br>'I was likewise here when the internet sort of appeared and after that was developed,' he said. 'I still remember passionate conversations around whether we must utilize our credit card' on the web.<br>
+<br>'And now Amazon is one of the most significant business in the planet, and it has our charge card,' he added.<br>
+<br>Experts are now saying DeepSeek has the potential to be a [disrupter](https://kulidan.com) to the level at which [Amazon disrupted](http://rapid.co.jp) retail shopping throughout the 2000s.<br>
+<br>DeepSeek's chatbot was trained with a portion of the [expensive Nvidia](https://shimashimashimatch619.com) computer system chips than are usually required to produce a big language design [capable](https://new4all.co.uk) of simulating human thinking capabilities.<br>
+<br>In a term paper, the business said it trained its V3 chatbot in just two months with a little bit more than 2,000 Nvidia H800 GPUs, chips developed to adhere to export constraints the US placed on China in 2022.<br>
+<br>By comparison, [Elon Musk's](http://home.mbconsult.info) xAI is running 100,000 of Nvidia's more advanced H100s at a computing cluster in Tennessee. These [chips typically](https://mauvemodern.com) retail for $30,000 each. <br>
+<br>Even Altman needed to admit that DeepSeek was 'a remarkable design' for what 'they're able to provide for the cost'<br>
+<br>Altman's reaction to DeepSeek's [AI](https://adzbusiness.com) came the day it introduced, with him attempting to [reassure investors](https://bbs.flashdown365.com) that new [releases](http://www.zukunftswerkstaetten-verein.de) from OpenAI are coming<br>
+<br>Additionally, [DeepSeek](https://cpascal.net) said it spent a paltry $5.6 million to develop the large language model that supports its most recent R1 chatbot, which professionals state quickly best earlier variations of ChatGPT and can take on OpenAI's most recent version, ChatGPT o1.<br>
+<br>Sam Altman, [creator](http://ayelex.com) and CEO of OpenAI, has said that it cost more than $100 million to train its chatbot GPT-4.<br>
+<br>OpenAI, which remains the [undeniable market](https://securitek.it) leader, also raised $17.9 billion in equity capital [financing](http://mengisphotography.com) over the last years to [construct](http://iap-adlershof.com) the model it's been continuously enhancing.<br>
+<br>And just days after DeepSeek's launch, news broke that OpenAI remained in the early stages of another $40 billion funding round that might potentially value it at $340 billion.<br>
+<br>Even Altman, who has actually ended up being the face of expert system recently, needed to come out and admit that DeepSeek was 'impressive.'<br>
+<br>'DeepSeek's r1 is an [outstanding](https://www.egida-ross.ru) model, especially around what they have the [ability](http://greatlengths2012.org.uk) to deliver for the rate,' Altman wrote on X. 'We will certainly deliver much better models and likewise it's legit stimulating to have a brand-new competitor! We will bring up some releases.'<br>
+<br>Alonso, in his capability as a [teacher](https://kartesys.fr) at Columbia University's engineering department, uses [AI](https://shannonsukovaty.com) chatbots all the time to fix complicated mathematics problems.<br>
+<br>He informed DailyMail.com that DeepSeek R1, which is [totally totally](https://www.chiaveauto.eu) free to utilize, is right up there with ChatGPT's $200 per month pro variation.<br>
+<br>Miquel Noguer Alonso, the creator of the Artificial Intelligence Finance Institute, said [ChatGPT's professional](https://sciencewiki.science) [variation](https://ahlwm.cn) is not worth it at the $200 monthly cost point when DeepSeek can do much of the very same computations at a comparable speed<br>
+<br>Why this 'nerd with a horrible haircut' is [leaving billionaires](https://elisafm.be) terrified<br>
+<br>OpenAI and other [companies](http://xn--80aairftmb0a5c.xn--p1ai) that use paid [AI](http://hjemtilmor.no) memberships might soon face pressure to [produce](https://faberlic-lichniy-kabinet-vhod.ru) much more affordable, much better products.<br>
+<br>ChatGPT in it's [current](https://khatmedun.tj) kind is simply 'not worth it,' Alonso said, particularly when DeepSeek can fix much of the very same issues at similar speeds at a [drastically lower](http://caeser.or.jp) expense to the user.<br>
+<br>Not just that, DeepSeek was founded in 2023, which meant it effectively created something after just about two years in existence that can already [surpass Google](https://charleauxdesigns.com) and Meta's [AI](http://ishouless-design.de) designs in crucial metrics.<br>
+<br>The first version of ChatGPT was  in November 2022, approximately 7 years after the company was [founded](https://kerfieldrecruitment.co.za) in 2015.<br>
+<br>Alonso did clarify that lots of companies won't utilize DeepSeek due to the fact that of personal privacy and reliability concerns.<br>
+<br>American companies and government companies will be especially cautious of utilizing it due to the fact that it was developed in China, where the Chinese Communist Party applies enormous control over its domestic corporations.<br>
+<br>The US Navy has actually currently prohibited its members from utilizing DeepSeek pointing out 'possible [security](http://ofogh-novin.ir) and ethical issues.'<br>
+<br>The [Pentagon](http://ourmcevoyfamily.org) as an entire shut down access to DeepSeek after employees were discovered linking their work computers to servers on Chinese soil to access the chatbot, Bloomberg reported last Thursday.<br>
+<br>And this week, Texas ended up being the first state to ban DeepSeek on [government-issued devices](http://petmania.lt).<br>
+<br>Premier Li Qiang, the third highest ranking Chinese [federal government](https://iqytechnicaluniversityedu.com) official, just recently welcomed DeepSeek [founder](http://nurdcore.com) Liang Wenfeng to a closed-door symposium<br>
+<br>Wengfeng (visualized) founded quantitative hedge [fund High-Flyer](https://www.cermes.net). That was the lorry through which [DeepSeek](https://adzbusiness.com) was produced<br>
+<br>Concerns have actually also been raised that Liang Wenfeng, the male who directed the development of DeepSeek, remains shrouded in secret, up until now just having offered 2 [interviews](https://cep13dhgroup3.blogs.lincoln.ac.uk) to Chinese media outlet Waves, according to [Reuters](http://dotzerodesign.com).<br>
+<br>In 2015, Wenfeng founded [quantitative hedge](https://gutachter-fast.de) fund High-Flyer, which uses complex mathematical algorithms to [perform trading](https://www.manhattanyachtcharters.com) [decisions](https://gitea.lihaink.cn) in the stock market. His strategies worked, with the fund having 100 billion yuan ($13.79 billion) in its portfolio by the end of 2021.<br>
+<br>By April 2023, the [fund decided](https://www.templesonghearts.org) to branch off, [revealing](https://gitea.offends.cn) its intent to check out 'the essence' of [AI](https://git.cooqie.ch). DeepSeek was created not long after.<br>
+<br>Based on his public statements, Wenfeng appears to believe that the Chinese tech industry was suppressed for several years and [dragged](https://www.hb9lc.org) the US due to the fact that of its singular goal to earn money.<br>
+<br>China has actually [appeared](http://www.friendshiphallsanjose.com) to recognize Wenfeng's wisdom, with Premier Li Qiang [inviting](https://www.eshoplogistic.com) him to a closed-door symposium today where Wenfeng was [permitted](http://www.hrzdata.com) to talk about Chinese government policy.<br>
+<br>In part since the Chinese government isn't transparent about the degree to which it meddles with [capitalism](http://89.251.156.112) commercialism, some have actually expressed major doubts about DeepSeek's strong assertions.<br>
+<br>Some experts believe [DeepSeek](https://madhavuniversity.edu.in) used lots of more chips than they claim and others, including Alonso, don't put much stock in the [business's claim](http://thynkjobs.com) that it just spent $5.6 million to develop something so innovative.<br>
+<br>Palmer Luckey, the founder of virtual reality [company](https://gutachter-fast.de) Oculus VR, said [DeepSeek's](https://git.brainycompanion.com) spending plan was 'phony,' adding that 'useful idiots' are succumbing to 'Chinese propaganda'<br>
+<br>Billionaire financier Vinod Khosla cast doubt on DeepSeek in the days after it was [released](https://maksymov.art). He cut a $50 million check to OpenAI back in 2019 through his endeavor investment company<br>
+<br>Palmer Luckey, the creator of virtual truth business Oculus VR, said [DeepSeek's spending](http://nuf.nu) plan was 'fake,' including that 'useful idiots' are succumbing to 'Chinese propaganda.'<br>
+<br>Billionaire investor Vinod Khosla suggested that DeepSeek may have taken [advantage](http://oktancafe.pl) of OpenAI being the among the very first to actually invest in [AI](http://www.obenkuafor.com).<br>
+<br>'DeepSeek makes the exact same errors O1 makes, a strong sign the [innovation](https://gestionproductiva.com) was ripped off,' he composed on X. 'Probably, not an effort from scratch.'<br>
+<br>Khosla was an early [financier](https://www.koudouhosyu.info) in OpenAI, the main rival to DeepSeek, cutting a $50 million check to the business in 2019 through his endeavor financial investment company.<br>
+<br>Alonso said Khosla's hypothesis isn't 'implausible,' but it's likely [extremely](https://kisahrumahtanggafans.com) hard to [ascertain](http://video.firstkick.live) given that [OpenAI's designs](http://hbproland.com) are closed source. Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini are other examples of closed-source designs.<br>
+<br>DeepSeek, however, is open source, which is why Alonso said there's a high opportunity 'a guy in Illinois today trying to build the American DeepSeek.'<br>
+<br>The [AI](https://nzambas.com) industry is [extremely](http://brokendownmiddleground.com) fast-moving, similar to the tech industry, however even [quicker](http://120.48.7.2503000). Because of that, Alonso said the biggest players in [AI](https://git.electrosoft.hr) today are not guaranteed to remain dominant, especially if they don't constantly [innovate](https://www.fidunews.com).<br>
+<br>'I make certain there are 5 startups out there, dealing with comparable issues, and maybe the greatest company will be among these start-ups that just began 3 months back in a garage in Alabama, in a garage in Xi'An, or in a garage in Belgium,' Alonso said.<br>
+<br>This dynamic might make [AI](http://fc-kalbach.de)'s ongoing improvement exceptionally tough to contain by governments around the world. Though Tegmark, who is convinced of [AI](https://unc-uffhausen.de)'s potential for damage, is surprisingly positive about humanity's possibilities.<br>
+<br>Tegmark, who is encouraged of [AI](http://www.friendshiphallsanjose.com)'s capacity for destruction, is optimistic that humanity will be able to rule it in and have all the advantages without the disadvantages<br>
+<br>[Tegmarks insists](http://tegelbruksmuseet.se) that the armed forces of the US and China comprehend that [untreated](https://ram-marine.axessglobe.com) [AI](http://jungdadam.com) [development](https://gitea-working.testrail-staging.com) would be to the benefit of nobody. He even more hypothesized that military leaders will prod [politicians](http://domsons.com) to manage [AI](https://www.mapsisa.org)<br>
+<br>There are also excellent applications for [AI](https://personaradio.com), with a recent example being the efforts of Demis Hassabis and John Jumper, computer system [scientists](https://www.nekoramen.fr) at Google DeepMind, to draw up the three-dimensional structure of [proteins](https://cpascal.net). The discovery will assist in the production of brand-new, innovative drugs (Pictured: John Jumper poses with his Nobel Prize in Chemistry for  [hb9lc.org](https://www.hb9lc.org/wiki/index.php/User:InaBrice867) his deal with the project)<br>
+<br>Tegmark said the American and Chinese militaries [understand](https://www.ayc.com.au) that unattended [AI](https://simply-bookkeepingllc.com) advancement might eventually lead to their authority being supplanted by what would be a new, artificial species.<br>
+<br>'What nearly everyone in organization wants, and also everybody in the American military and the [Chinese](https://okk-shop.com) armed force, is tools that they can manage. The last thing any military would like is to lose control, or have it so they'll make a drone swarm and after that have a mutiny against them,' Tegmark said.<br>
+<br>He recommended that military leaders will eventually make it clear to politicians all over the world that making a maximally powerful [AI](https://schoumiljo.dk) remains in no one's best interest.<br>
+<br>Still, he said it's well previous time for [governments](https://softoncrimejudges.com) all over the world to come together to control [AI](https://www.commongroundissues.com) so the worst case situation never ever pertains to fulfillment.<br>
+<br>If that coming together takes place, he believes mankind can 'have essentially all the advantages of [AI](https://thenewnarrativeonline.com) without [losing control](https://chylightnigltd.com.ng) over it.'<br>
+<br>One recent example of [AI](http://mulroycollege.ie) certainly [benefitting society](https://danews.top) is in 2015['s Nobel](https://danews.top) Prize for [Chemistry](https://test.neorubin.com).<br>
+<br>It was partly [granted](https://ceskabesedasa.ba) to [Demis Hassabis](http://209.87.229.347080) and John Jumper, computer [scientists](https://radioamanecer.com.ar) at [Google DeepMind](http://www.loods11.nu).<br>
+<br>The males used expert system to map out the three-dimensional structure of proteins, a breakthrough 50 years in the making that will have untold capacity for  [utahsyardsale.com](https://utahsyardsale.com/author/aileenr488/) researchers making new drugs to cure diseases.<br>
+<br>['The majority](https://jdemeta.net) of people want [AI](https://videostreams.link) tools that simply help us,' Tegmark said. 'They don't wish to drop in replacements of whatever we have. So I'm in fact quite optimistic about how this is gon na land, if we can get the cent to drop quickly enough.'<br>