1 Our new Deepseek-based AI Says

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Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

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Nobody can forecast the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its best shot. With approximately date news and a small but tough 14 Billion parameter model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to respond to mankind's toughest concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as 2 years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pushing concerns that are less easy to pin down. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language model to be better at predicting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing improvements - research paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is really on the smaller side. (Some estimates suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months earlier so we have built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its finest forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We positioned the following questions to our AI and assessed its reaction. While we have actually seen forecast enhancements from our training, use these quotes for prop wagering at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility

Therefore it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta factor in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...

First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor since 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his career, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her loved ones to the Super Bowl, showing her dedication.

Some fans are excited, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically offered comments Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.

I think the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an important event, the chances and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd approximate a low possibility, maybe around 5%, considering all aspects.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.

Alright, I'm trying to determine the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to understand just what a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it seems like it's a strategy where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and technique.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The post discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is pretty high. ... I likewise need to think of the protective strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might adjust their defense accordingly, which could either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than five appears like a significant number however possible provided their confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% possibility. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the strategy, and the possibility that they'll use it numerous times, specifically if it's reliable early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% opportunity

While our AI may not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.

From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That seems considerable due to the fact that it shows he's done it before, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current short articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That could indicate he's less most likely to resolve Trump this time.

However, he's likewise involved in a fight with Drake, which might provide him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation fit from Drake, so possibly he's cautious about including any questionable songs in the efficiency. But considering that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political declarations throughout the halftime program, so there's a danger that such material may be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making bold carry on huge stages. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime show, which may provide him more imaginative freedom. Plus, his previous behavior suggests he's not shy about revealing his opinions, even in public performances.

But I likewise remember reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's concentrating on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, current shifts in focus, legal concerns, setiathome.berkeley.edu and the event's context-the possibility appears to be reasonably high, perhaps around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% chance

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Looks like theres rather of a chance that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't suggest to cause offense and that he actually found it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might show he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Taking a look at the articles, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and likes cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's a person who takes pleasure in eating, particularly with his group. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would engage in a cheeseburger, specifically if the situation is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity

"Tails never fails?" You can't fool the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and believes anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historic data that might affect this forecast.

First, I check out through the short articles supplied. They all discuss the historical stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has turned up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the outcome 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a small edge, however it's not a substantial distinction.

However, I bear in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is normally thought about random. The minor historic edge for tails might be due to opportunity. But when making predictions, sometimes individuals weigh historic data even if it's not statistically significant. So, I must think about whether this historical predisposition ought to influence the probability.

After thinking of it, I decide that while the historical data reveals a small preference for tails, it's not statistically substantial enough to move the probability away from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists however doesn't override the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely think the exact same. BUT, its authorities now because our AI states the possibilities are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to find out the likelihood that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite major accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of short articles that discuss conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some questionable contact recent games, particularly the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get annoyed when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "outrageous." They say there's no evidence of systematic predisposition. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may mean there's no real basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some reality to it.

Taking a look at the articles, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that statistical analysis doesn't show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For instance, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have actually been penalized more because 2022. That's interesting since if they were getting unique treatment, you might expect fewer charges, right?

...

So, putting it all together, the probability that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely very low. Maybe not zero since you can't rule out every possibility, but exceptionally unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth seeing the video game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for an excellent game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about everything, a minimum of it can gain from this.